Social Security Worker to Recipient Ratio

Social Security’s main programs, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Disability Insurance programs (OASDI), have been expanded to include more beneficiaries. As American society has continued aging, the number of covered workers per OASDI beneficiary has steadily fallen. OASDI is facing persistent deficits and must be reformed before it becomes insolvent in 2034.

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Updated December 7, 2021

Source: Social Security Administration

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Social Security Runs Deficits

Social Security runs consecutive and permanent cash-flow deficits. Without program reforms, this gap between what the Treasury is collecting in payroll and Social Security income taxes and what is needed to pay benefits will grow several times over despite strong tax revenue increases.

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Updated July 19, 2024

Source: Social Security Administration

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Unsustainable Budget Deficits

Excessive government spending, especially on autopilot (mandatory) programs, will continue to increase budget deficits if left unchecked. By 2054, the federal budget deficit is projected to be 9.1 percent of GDP. That is over three times the 50-year average, and would represent one-ninth of the economy. Lawmakers must cut spending and pursue structural budget reforms to control these deficits.

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Updated February 8, 2024

Source: Congressional Budget Office

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Social Security Spending

Spending on Social Security already exceeds $1 trillion annually, as spending on both Disability Insurance (DI) and Old-Age and Survivors Insurance benefits (OASI) continues growing.

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Drivers of Growing Spending

Federal spending will increase by more than $3.5 trillion from 2023 through 2033. Three major budget categories—health care, social security, and interest on the debt—will account for 81 percent of this spending growth.

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Updated February 8, 2024

Source: Congressional Budget Office

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U.S. Debt Held by Foreign Entities

To finance borrowing, the U.S. government sells treasury securities domestically and abroad. Foreign governments, individuals, and institutions then buy these securities as an investment. Currently, mainland China is the second-largest foreign owner of U.S. national debt with $859 billion.

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Updated August 31, 2023

Source: U.S. Treasury Department

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High Tax Rates Don’t Raise Receipts

Despite the top individual tax rate fluctuating between 91 and 28 percent over the past 50 years, total individual tax receipts have remained fairly stable. The top rate decreased in 2018 and is now at 37 percent.

Additional Sources: Internal Revenue Service

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Updated May 16, 2023

Source: Office of Management and Budget

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Retirees Typically Receive More than They Paid

Lower- and middle-income Americans who work every year from ages 22 to 65 will pay between $171,000 and $608,000 in payroll taxes for Medicare and Social Security, depending on their income bracket. And though they will receive more in Medicare and Social Security benefits than they paid for, Social Security is a bad deal for workers and their families because they could receive two- to three-times as much, on average, from saving and investing their own money, without adding to the debt burden for younger generations.

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Updated May 10, 2019

Source: Urban Institute

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